Sunday, July 16, 2006

World War

War for oil: it’s on the way.  Despite the accusations by the anti-war, Move-On.Org crowd George Bush naively thought he could save the world.  Iran is about three steps away from fomenting a global clash that is anyone’s guess about the consequences.  The Arab- Jewish (Israeli) war of extermination has been going on since 1948 its agonizing prelude being the Final Solution attempted by the Nazis.

The joke is on the West. The attempt to rid Europe of its Jews, known as the partition of Palestine and the creation of the Jewish state made the industrial world’s dependence on oil the basis of the coming world war.  In the early years no one paid much attention to the potential problem because essentially only the United States had a strong demand for oil and most of that was met through local production.  Still the international oils companies searched the Arabian Desert for more reserves.  As European prosperity returned their economies placed further strain on oil resources, but oil was mined so cheaply that the impact was minimal.

Gamal Nasser began to change all that.  The United Arab League wanted its share of the oil wealth that the West was expropriating from their lands.  The oil embargo of the 1970s pushed prices higher and led to contract renegotiation in favor of the host countries; in particular Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, and Syria.  During the years between 1948 and 1967 the Arabs attempted to blot out Israel, with help from Russia, but were remarkably unsuccessful.  Of course Iranians are not Arabs but they are Muslims and fanatical ones at that.  The world was soon to learn that there is little worse than rich fanatics.

Western Civilization is in great peril but no one seems to believe this or even cares about it.  The Conservative view is that this can be coped with by force if necessary, but why worry about the Arabs when some brilliant scientist will most likely solve the problem with another form of energy.  There’s not really much hope of that, certainly not in the short term.  The Liberal view is that the world will be better off without Western Civilization as it is at the root of all that is wrong in the world.  A more conceited, arrogant view of life is difficult to conceive.

Without Israel it is more than likely that the oil rich Middle Eastern nations ( invented by Britain, France, and the US) would have developed along Western lines with Islam still being the basis of their political systems; but probably not Wahabbi Islam. The Soviet Union manipulated their client states and incited their attempts at eliminating Israel as part of the plan to push the US around during the Cold War.  The problem became one of weapons, dictators, and totalitarian states with the industrialized west’s money going to the Soviet Union to pay for military hardware and training.  It could only be this way because the US supported Israel as for a time did the Europeans.  That has changed leaving only the US supporting Israel.

At this moment the Iranians and Syrians, through their clients Hamas and Hezbollah, feel strong enough to start a war that no one will be able to control.  Some very hard times are coming; economically, physically, and possibly the use of nuclear weapons.  Get ready.

No comments: